It’s a great question, Jack! My sense is that it would have mostly been a wash. George’s voters seem to have been a little bit older than Jack’s so maybe Lasher gets slightly more from George and Alex gets slightly more from Jack, but like 55-45 either way. Nina probably an even split (or honestly a bunch of her voters might not have ranked either).
Second order effects would be interesting too. Would Jack and Micah have cross endorsed? Would Nina have become more viable? Etc.
The “more progressive than thou” trope seems somewhat off here. I know of several older voters who were inclined to vote for Bores due to the backlash derived from the overreach by the pro- AI pacs. But when they saw that Bores was tethered to Our Revolution (and Bernie by implication if not fact) there was a swing to Lasher (perhaps a backlash to the Lander/Goldman race and the other DSA advances). Just a thought.
Very well done! The passage about the UWS Little League and the UES law firm associates is quite Langeian. As someone who was canvassing for Eli Northrup, I wanted to know if there was an overlap between Northrup and Lasher voters, because that would indicate that other people thought Lasher was more progressive.
Did any of the other candidates play a bigger/smaller role than expected? If this had been a ranked choice primary would things have gone differently?
It’s a great question, Jack! My sense is that it would have mostly been a wash. George’s voters seem to have been a little bit older than Jack’s so maybe Lasher gets slightly more from George and Alex gets slightly more from Jack, but like 55-45 either way. Nina probably an even split (or honestly a bunch of her voters might not have ranked either).
Second order effects would be interesting too. Would Jack and Micah have cross endorsed? Would Nina have become more viable? Etc.
Once again, well done !
The “more progressive than thou” trope seems somewhat off here. I know of several older voters who were inclined to vote for Bores due to the backlash derived from the overreach by the pro- AI pacs. But when they saw that Bores was tethered to Our Revolution (and Bernie by implication if not fact) there was a swing to Lasher (perhaps a backlash to the Lander/Goldman race and the other DSA advances). Just a thought.
Very well done! The passage about the UWS Little League and the UES law firm associates is quite Langeian. As someone who was canvassing for Eli Northrup, I wanted to know if there was an overlap between Northrup and Lasher voters, because that would indicate that other people thought Lasher was more progressive.